As the COP28 climate summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, kicked off this week, the meeting’s president Sultan Al Jaber said that keeping the key 1.5°C climate target “within reach” was his only goal. But realistically, barring a catastrophic financial collapse, a massive meteor impact or all-out nuclear war, it now seems inevitable that the global average surface temperature will exceed 1.5°C above the preindustrial level sometime around 2030.
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